Cavco Industries Stock Performance

CVCO Stock  USD 465.80  26.22  5.33%   
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.24, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Cavco Industries will likely underperform. At this point, Cavco Industries has a negative expected return of -0.15%. Please make sure to confirm Cavco Industries' maximum drawdown, accumulation distribution, as well as the relationship between the Accumulation Distribution and market facilitation index , to decide if Cavco Industries performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Cavco Industries has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of latest unfluctuating performance, the Stock's fundamental indicators remain healthy and the recent disarray on Wall Street may also be a sign of long period gains for the firm investors. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(5.33)
Five Day Return
(26.72)
Year To Date Return
(21.26)
Ten Year Return
494.06
All Time Return
4.6 K
Last Split Factor
2:1
Last Split Date
2005-02-01
1
How Cavco Industries Inc. stock benefits from global expansion - Market Growth Report Smart Allocation Stock Tips - newser.com
11/19/2025
2
Cavco Industries Shows Market Leadership With Jump To 82 RS Rating
12/11/2025
3
US legislation could give quantum boost to manufactured housing
01/07/2026
4
Cavco Industries, Inc. CVCO Shares Bought by Robeco Schweiz AG - MarketBeat
01/14/2026
5
Cavco Industries, Inc.s Popularity With Investors Is Under Threat From Overpricing
01/21/2026
6
Cavco Industries Projected to Post Quarterly Earnings on Thursday
01/27/2026
7
Cavco GAAP EPS of 5.58 misses by 0.68, revenue of 581M misses by 12.37M
01/29/2026
8
Cavco Q4 2025 Earnings Call Transcript
01/30/2026
9
Assessing Cavco Industries Valuation After Recent Share Price Weakness
02/02/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow368.8 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-24 M

Cavco Industries Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  53,074  in Cavco Industries on November 4, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (6,494) from holding Cavco Industries or give up 12.24% of portfolio value over 90 days. Cavco Industries is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 3.3986% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 30% of stocks are less volatile than Cavco, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Cavco Industries is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 4.51 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.04 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.11 per unit of volatility.

Cavco Industries Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Cavco Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 465.80 90 days 465.80 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Cavco Industries to move above the current price in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Cavco Industries probability density function shows the probability of Cavco Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.24 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Cavco Industries will likely underperform. Additionally Cavco Industries has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Cavco Industries Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Cavco Industries

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cavco Industries. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Cavco Industries' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
464.38467.78471.18
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
419.22473.25476.65
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
409.50412.90416.30
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
539.18592.50657.68
Details

Cavco Industries Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Cavco Industries is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Cavco Industries' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Cavco Industries, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Cavco Industries within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.27
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.24
σ
Overall volatility
50.89
Ir
Information ratio -0.07

Cavco Industries Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Cavco Industries for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Cavco Industries can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Cavco Industries generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Cavco Industries has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Cavco Industries is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Over 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Assessing Cavco Industries Valuation After Recent Share Price Weakness

Cavco Industries Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Cavco Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Cavco Industries' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cavco Industries' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding8.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments376.1 M

Cavco Industries Fundamentals Growth

Cavco Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Cavco Industries, and Cavco Industries fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Cavco Stock performance.

About Cavco Industries Performance

By examining Cavco Industries' fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Cavco Industries' financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Cavco Industries is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 64.40  43.94 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.13  0.14 
Return On Capital Employed 0.17  0.17 
Return On Assets 0.12  0.12 
Return On Equity 0.15  0.16 

Things to note about Cavco Industries performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Cavco Industries for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Cavco Industries help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Cavco Industries generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Cavco Industries has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Cavco Industries is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Over 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Assessing Cavco Industries Valuation After Recent Share Price Weakness
Evaluating Cavco Industries' performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Cavco Industries' stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Cavco Industries' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Cavco Industries' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Cavco Industries' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Cavco Industries' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Cavco Industries' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Cavco Industries' stock. These opinions can provide insight into Cavco Industries' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Cavco Industries' stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Cavco Industries' stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.
When determining whether Cavco Industries offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Cavco Industries' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Cavco Industries Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Cavco Industries Stock:
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Cavco Industries. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in private.
To learn how to invest in Cavco Stock, please use our How to Invest in Cavco Industries guide.
You can also try the Options Analysis module to analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios.
Will Household Durables sector continue expanding? Could Cavco diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Cavco Industries. Projected growth potential of Cavco fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Cavco Industries data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.19)
Earnings Share
23
Revenue Per Share
278.098
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.113
Return On Assets
0.1007
Understanding Cavco Industries requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Cavco's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value—what Cavco Industries' is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Cavco Industries' price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Cavco Industries' intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Cavco Industries should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, Cavco Industries' trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.